NFL: AFC Championship Game Predictions

by fan-yak.com

There is only one game standing in between the remaining four NFL teams and the Super Bowl. The Kansas City Chiefs will face the Buffalo Bills this Sunday for a chance to etch their teams into NFL history. Who will take the crown in this rematch from the regular season?

Bills @ Chiefs:

The Bills and the Chiefs have played each other 8 times in the last five years, three of those times being in the playoffs. In those 8 games the two teams are 4-4 and the Chiefs have won all three playoff matchups. These games are always must-see TV and the stakes could not be any higher in Sunday’s game.

Tru-Yak Prediction: Bills 38 Chiefs 27

The Bills and Chiefs have already matched up once this season where the Bills won 30-21 in an intense week 11 matchup. Although the Bills have been notorious for beating the Chiefs in the regular season and not following up in the playoffs I believe this is the year they get over the hump. 

In their regular season matchup the Bills showed that they have a formula to beat Patrick Mahomes and they executed it to perfection in Week 11. The name of the game was get to the quarterback and there was a herd of yaks in the backfield all game. The Bills used their pressure to not only force a lot of bad throws but to force Mahomes into quick and on time throws and limit the amount of game breaking plays he can make-

The Bills did a great job of sending pressure and keeping Mahomes in the pocket which forced the Chiefs playmakers to beat the Bills and they did not allow Mahomes to beat them. The Bills got 7 QB hits, 2 sacks and 3 tackles for loss in their victory and they also forced Mahomes into two bad decisions including an early pick and one on the last drive to seal the game.

The Bills are going to use this same formula on defense to beat the Chiefs again, they do not match up with the Chiefs secondary wise, so the pressure has to get there. The Chiefs have no number 1 receiver due to Rashee Rice being hurt, but they have a great scheme and a lot of guys with speed the Bills need to contain.

Offensively the Bills did the opposite of the Chiefs, they gave Josh Allen clean pockets to be able to move the ball down field and limit mistakes. Allen also did a good job of spreading the ball and getting his playmakers in space. Four players had 40+ receiving yards for the Bills that game.

The Bills are going to have a similar offensive game plan of getting guys in space and taking some shots, but their biggest edge and what I believe will be the difference maker, is Allen’s ability with his legs. The Chiefs struggle against mobile quarterbacks and they have a hard time keeping those guys in the pocket. 

This year the Chiefs did not play many mobile quarterbacks, but the few athletes that they did play were able to get out of the pocket and go. Lamar Jackson had 122 rushing yards against the Chiefs this year, Russell Wilson had 55, Josh Allen had 55 in their previous matchup, even CJ Stroud just had 42 rush yards against them in the playoffs and Stroud does not take off much.

Josh Allen’s ability to make big plays with not only his arm but his legs will be too much for the Chiefs. James Cook is known to struggle against the Chiefs, so it will be up to Allen to be the difference maker and this is the year he finally does it.

On the Chiefs side of things you know what you are going to get. They will try to get Xavier Worthy and Hollywood Brown in space or on deep shots and if that fails Travis Kelce is somewhere wide open over the middle (I don’t know how the   Kelce is never within 15 yards of a defender).

They also have Deandre Hopkins who has struggled recently-He has not had 40 or more receiving yards since week 13 and he has not caught a touchdown since week 14. However everyone knows what he is capable of and he could have a classic Hopkins performance any game.

These receivers are going to have to step up in order to give the Chiefs a chance this weekend, the Chiefs run game has been decent at best recently. Kareem Hunt is still playing solid football, but nothing special and Pacheco has still not gotten his rhythm back since coming off of his injury. It will be up to Patrick Mahomes to lead the Chiefs to victory once again.

The Chiefs will have to clean up the mistakes they made last time, which they are very capable of and they need to try to give Mahomes some time. If they can do that, then anything is possible because they are the Chiefs and they have a Hall of Fame coach, quarterback, and tight end.

Defensively they have to do a better job of getting to Josh Allen and trying to limit the big plays he can make in the air and on the ground. They have beaten the Bills plenty of times before and they do have all the tools and players to win.  I just think this year the Bills are going to be too much to handle.

When Tom Brady played (who Patrick Mahomes is often compared to) he did make a record 

10 Super Bowls but he did not win or even make it every single year. Brady won 7, but in his time Aaron Rodgers got one, Drew Brees got one, Ben Roethlisberger got two, Eli Manning got two and even Joe “Elite” Flacco got one. 

The Bills WILL put an end to the possible three peat and it is time for a new quarterback to get their first superbowl whether it be Josh Allen, Jaden Daniels, or Jalen Hurts.

ONWARD!

TRU-YAK

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